Structural shifts will shape Ukraine’s energy and climate future - Lessons from the EU accession of Poland and Romania

Iakovenko, Zachmann

April 2024

Predicting future energy demand and emission must be based on assumptions how the Ukrainian economy will develop, and what critical uncertainties are. A sensible assessment of future energy demand and emissions trajectories is crucial for policy-choices and investment decisions.

We will illustrate how key economic variables have structurally changed in Romania and Poland during their pre-and post-accession process – and briefly suggest the implications of corresponding shifts for Ukraine’s energy demand and emissions.

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